What Is Happening to Oil, Logistics and the Cost Base of Business?

In spring 2026, oil, logistics and business costs have moved back to the centre of strategic decision-making. This is no longer a story confined to commodity traders, shipping executives or macroeconomists. It is now a live operating issue for manufacturers, retailers, airlines, food producers, construction groups, franchisors and service businesses. The reason is simple: when war disrupts energy flows and shipping routes, the effect does not stop at the price of crude. It spreads into freight, insurance, packaging, chemicals, food inputs, aviation, consumer confidence and, ultimately, margins. Reuters’ review of corporate disclosures found that since the Iran war began, 21 companies had cut or withdrawn guidance, 32 had flagged price rises, and 31 had cited expected financial damage. (Reuters)

The first layer of the shock is oil itself. Reuters reported that the closure and disruption around the Strait of Hormuz have removed about 13 million barrels per day of crude supply from the market since the war began, while the IMF’s April scenarios assumed materially weaker growth and significantly higher inflation under severe energy disruption. In practice, this means oil is once again acting not merely as a market input but as a systemic signal. When oil becomes scarce, volatile or politically threatened, it changes the price of almost everything that must be moved, heated, refined or manufactured. (Reuters)

How Wars and Sanctions Are Changing Business in Europe, Asia and the Middle East

In spring 2026, wars and sanctions have become part of the operating environment for business rather than background political noise. The war involving Iran has disrupted energy flows, freight and insurance, while the long aftershocks of the war in Ukraine continue to influence sanctions policy, trade patterns and industrial strategy across Europe. Reuters’ review of corporate disclosures found that since the Iran war began, 21 companies had withdrawn or cut forecasts, 32 had flagged price rises, and 31 had cited expected financial impacts. That is not a geopolitical side story. It is a direct business story. 

The first and most immediate change is cost. Wars affect business first through energy, raw materials and transport. In Europe, the European Commission is preparing measures to soften what officials openly describe as a second energy crisis in four years, after gas prices rose sharply and fertiliser markets tightened because of the conflict around Hormuz. Reuters reported that urea prices had risen by 55% since the war began and that one-third of global fertiliser trade passes through the affected route. For manufacturers, agribusinesses and transport-heavy sectors, war is therefore showing up not as a headline, but as margin pressure. 

What Will Happen to the World Economy Over the Next Six Months: Three Realistic Scenarios

In spring 2026, the central question for the world economy is no longer whether the Middle East war will inflict damage, but what kind of damage it will produce over the coming six months. The International Monetary Fund has already reset the baseline. In its April 2026 World Economic Outlook, it projects global growth of 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027 under a limited-conflict assumption, while warning that rising commodity prices, firmer inflation expectations and tighter financial conditions are testing the economy’s recent resilience. (IMF)

That shift matters because the baseline is now clearly weaker than the one markets were using before the Gulf shock intensified. Reuters reported that, in the IMF’s severe scenario, global inflation in 2026 would rise above 6%, versus 4.4% in the Fund’s reference scenario. This means the debate is no longer about a smooth return to normality, but about how persistent the inflation shock becomes and how deeply it feeds into growth, trade and financial conditions. (IMF)

Tehran’s Maritime Tollgate: How Iran Is Trying to Turn the Strait of Hormuz into a Paid Corridor

Iran is not placing a barrier across the water. It is building a system of licences, selective access, military pressure and political control that could make passage through Hormuz conditional rather than free.

The Strait of Hormuz cannot be closed with a literal barrier. It is not a canal with a toll booth and it is not a port with gates. Yet Iran is attempting to achieve something close to the same result by different means: turning an international strait into a space where passage depends not only on maritime law, but on political permission, military control and prior coordination with Tehran. That is the real physical meaning of the system Iran is now trying to build.

Reuters reported on 7 April that Tehran wants the right, as part of a broader peace arrangement, to charge ships for transiting Hormuz. According to that report, Iranian officials said the fee would vary depending on the type of vessel, the cargo and the prevailing conditions. Reuters also reported that Iran says it is working with Oman on a protocol under which ships would need permits and licences in order to pass through the strait, although Oman had not publicly confirmed such an agreement at the time.

What the United Nations Security Council Is: Its History and Its Condition Today

The United Nations Security Council is the body to which the UN Charter gives primary responsibility for the maintenance of international peace and security. It has 15 members, each with one vote, and UN member states are obliged to comply with Council decisions adopted under the Charter. Unlike many other UN bodies, it is not merely a forum for debate. It is the institution that can investigate threats to peace, call for peaceful settlement, impose sanctions, and in some cases authorise the use of force.

Its origins lie in the post-war settlement of 1945. The UN Charter was signed in San Francisco on 26 June 1945 and entered into force on 24 October 1945. The Security Council was created because the founders of the United Nations wanted more than a diplomatic assembly; they wanted a mechanism capable of acting quickly when international peace was under direct threat.

Asian Business Mission 2026 in Almaty

On April 12, 2026, Almaty will host Asian Business Mission 2026, an international business platform that will bring together entrepreneurs, business leaders, investors, and innovators from across Asia and beyond. The event is set to become one of the key business gatherings in the region, strengthening Almaty’s role as an emerging centre for cross-border cooperation and entrepreneurial development.

Asian Business Week 2026 is designed to foster international partnerships, investment opportunities, and strategic dialogue. The programme will include high-level business forums, networking sessions, startup presentations, and partnership development meetings, creating a dynamic environment where ideas can evolve into real business opportunities.

The event will be held under the auspices of BOSS Business Club, World Woman Club and the European Association of Business Development, reinforcing its international статус and positioning it within a broader global ecosystem of business collaboration and leadership.